The relationship between cryptocurrencies and the S&P 500 is complex and not always consistent, despite periods of positive correlation. While recent data shows the S&P 500 rising (e.g., up 18% year-to-date in 2025, with SPY at $662.29 as of September 22, 2025), and some cryptocurrencies experiencing declines (e.g., Bitcoin down ~20% over the past month), […]
Observing the correlation between S&P 500 and Bitcoin Read More »
Crypto, S&P 500Japan’s stock market, the Nikkei 225, closed down 0.5% but off its low. Earlier the Nikkei was down 2.5% following the Bank of Japan decision to maintain its short-term interest rate at 0.5% while initiating a gradual sell-off of 330 billion yen in ETFs annually. At the same time Japan’s 10Y yield surged to new
Japanese yields send a warning Read More »
Bonds, S&P 500The Bank of England held its base rate at 4%, citing inflation still running well above target. Additionally, it is slowing down its quantitative tightening (QT; bond sales) from £100B/year to around £70B. Inflation in the UK remains sticky (3.8% in August), which supports the BoE’s cautious stance. We should not be surprised to see
Bank of England holds base rate at 4% Read More »
Bonds, FTSE 100, Inflation, S&P 500Following the Fed’s widely anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut yesterday, the first since December 2024, markets reacted with initial caution, as the S&P 500 closed slightly lower amid questions about the pace of future easing. The Fed’s “dot plot” projections indicated two additional cuts by year-end 2025, aligning with expectations but signalling a cautious approach due
Gold declined despite a dovish Fed Read More »
Crypto, FTSE 100, Gold, S&P 500The S&P 500 recently closed above 6,600 for the first time, but sentiment is mixed as investors await the Fed’s interest rate decision. The Fed is expected to announce a 25 basis point rate cut today. Markets will be watching how dovish the Fed is, what its forward guidance says, how many cuts are anticipated
U.S. interest rate decision Read More »
FTSE 100, S&P 500, Stocks and SharesRecent earnings have reinforced the strength of leading technology and AI-focused companies, pushing their stocks higher and keeping markets near record levels. The excitement is understandable—AI has the potential to transform industries in ways similar to the internet revolution of the late 1990s. Back then, investors rushed to buy into the “new economy,” and while
Yesterday, U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) came in lower than expected, easing fears of runaway inflation and bolstering expectations that the Fed could begin cutting interest rates. The market now anticipates possibly multiple cuts before year-end. The market is now awaiting August Consumer Price Index (CPI), scheduled for release at 1.30pm today; these figures may
S&P 500 at record highs, CPI is next Read More »
FTSE 100, S&P 500Markets are showing a positive tone heading into today, largely fuelled by expectations that upcoming jobs data may finally justify interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve as soon as mid-September. The US nonfarm payrolls is expected at 1.30pm, a weak report would increase the odds of a rate cut in September. The consensus among
Outlook for today: US jobs report Read More »
FTSE 100, S&P 500