Author name: Thierry

Markets have shown resilience in recent days with some recovery attempts, but remain sensitive to Middle East developments, including reports of Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. military responses, and fluctuating oil prices (which have pulled back from earlier spikes but remain elevated due to supply disruption fears). There is a clear correlation […]

The primary driver for the stock market remains the U.S.-Iran war developments, stoking inflation worries from higher energy costs (oil is up again today, up 2%) and broader uncertainty. Markets have whipsawed but partially recovered on hopes of de-escalation or limited long-term impact (historical conflicts often lead to temporary dips rather than sustained bear markets).

The stock market is riding a wave of renewed optimism following a strong rebound in the previous session. The narrative has shifted from “AI disruption fears” back to “AI growth potential,” significantly boosting tech and semiconductor stocks. Concerns that AI would instantly replace existing software companies (which caused a sharp dip on Monday) have cooled.

US futures are edging slightly lower this morning, reversing some of Friday’s late-session gains. The primary driver is a weekend announcement from President Trump to raise blanket global tariffs to 15% (up from 10%) after the US Supreme Court blocked his previous “reciprocal” tariff framework on Friday. The Supreme Court ruling provided short-term relief on

Major indices ended lower yesterday amid escalating US-Iran tensions (including oil price surges to six-month highs), a selloff in financials/private equity stocks, and ongoing concerns over AI investment risks and spending. Rising US-Iran tensions (e.g., Trump’s deadline comments on nuclear talks) are weighing on risk sentiment, boosting oil but pressuring stocks. A surge in oil

The S&P 500 broke below a key support level yesterday, the momentum is weak, a signal that the trend may have turned down earlier than anticipated. The catalyst is AI disruption fears and accelerating economic growth. Tech and software stocks saw pressure, with investors weighing long-term competitive threats from AI. This has contributed to choppy

Today the U.S. stock and bond markets are closed in observance of Presidents’ Day. Friday’s data showed U.S. inflation moderating to 2.4%, which has increased market bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut later this spring or summer (traders are pricing in an 80% chance of easing by June). Bond yields have been pulling back

The market experienced a broad selloff on Thursday, driven by renewed fears of AI disruption spilling beyond tech into sectors like software, real estate, transportation/logistics, and more. Futures are roughly flat to slightly lower in early premarket trading. Sentiment reflects an attempt to stabilise after Thursday’s heavy selling, but volatility remains elevated due to AI-related

Yesterday’s delayed January Nonfarm Payrolls report came in much stronger than expected (130k jobs added vs. 70k forecast). While this shows a resilient economy, it has effectively “wrong-footed” the market by pushing interest rate cut expectations back to July. Treasury yields have ticked up in response to the jobs data, putting pressure on high-growth software

The recent momentum stems from a tech rebound easing concerns over AI-related spending and disruptions, alongside broader market rotation (e.g., strength in areas like energy, small caps, and some defensives). Markets have shown choppiness in early 2026, with volatility potentially tied to jobs data, inflation reports (like CPI), and Fed interest rate expectations—key releases are