Author name: Thierry

Major indices ended lower yesterday amid escalating US-Iran tensions (including oil price surges to six-month highs), a selloff in financials/private equity stocks, and ongoing concerns over AI investment risks and spending. Rising US-Iran tensions (e.g., Trump’s deadline comments on nuclear talks) are weighing on risk sentiment, boosting oil but pressuring stocks. A surge in oil […]

The S&P 500 broke below a key support level yesterday, the momentum is weak, a signal that the trend may have turned down earlier than anticipated. The catalyst is AI disruption fears and accelerating economic growth. Tech and software stocks saw pressure, with investors weighing long-term competitive threats from AI. This has contributed to choppy

Today the U.S. stock and bond markets are closed in observance of Presidents’ Day. Friday’s data showed U.S. inflation moderating to 2.4%, which has increased market bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut later this spring or summer (traders are pricing in an 80% chance of easing by June). Bond yields have been pulling back

The market experienced a broad selloff on Thursday, driven by renewed fears of AI disruption spilling beyond tech into sectors like software, real estate, transportation/logistics, and more. Futures are roughly flat to slightly lower in early premarket trading. Sentiment reflects an attempt to stabilise after Thursday’s heavy selling, but volatility remains elevated due to AI-related

Yesterday’s delayed January Nonfarm Payrolls report came in much stronger than expected (130k jobs added vs. 70k forecast). While this shows a resilient economy, it has effectively “wrong-footed” the market by pushing interest rate cut expectations back to July. Treasury yields have ticked up in response to the jobs data, putting pressure on high-growth software

The recent momentum stems from a tech rebound easing concerns over AI-related spending and disruptions, alongside broader market rotation (e.g., strength in areas like energy, small caps, and some defensives). Markets have shown choppiness in early 2026, with volatility potentially tied to jobs data, inflation reports (like CPI), and Fed interest rate expectations—key releases are

The Dow Jones rallied to new all-time highs, the S&P 500 could follow as the rally in tech stocks resumes. In this case the FTSE 100 could rally back to the top. On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 50,000 for the first time ever, setting a high bar for today’s session. There

Overall, the tone is bullish for today, with stocks positioned for gains amid earnings focus and rotational strength. There is a noticeable move out of the tech sector, something we would expect as the S&P is near the top. First the decline in crypto and in particular Bitcoin was a warning to the stock market.

The US stock market shows a negative tone in premarket trading, influenced by mixed Big Tech earnings reactions, speculation around President Trump’s upcoming announcement of a new Federal Reserve Chair nominee (potentially Kevin Warsh, seen as more hawkish), and broader concerns over tech sector momentum after reports like Microsoft’s. Microsoft was down 10% due to